ANN-CSGD Real-Time Precipitation Forecast
Using GEFS ensemble model data and an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), we generate probabilistic precipitation forecasts across the contiguous United States. The model predicts a full Censored Shifted Gamma Distribution (CSGD) at every land grid point, producing calibrated exceedance probabilities for rolling 12-hour precipitation windows. Animations below show the full forecast horizon for the latest … Read more
